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V-Lab

Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

41.45%

decreased by 1.63%

1 Week

42.50%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

45.56%

increased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4688
13.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1468
18.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8014
146.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0197
1.43

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days