V-Lab
Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.04%
decreased by 2.44%
1 Week
37.46%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
41.30%
increased by 2.82%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4805 | 12.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1729 | 16.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7924 | 99.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0323 | -1.83* |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
Other Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities