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V-Lab

Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.04%

decreased by 2.44%

1 Week

37.46%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Month

41.30%

increased by 2.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Modern Avenue Group Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 28, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4805
12.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1729
16.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7924
99.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0323
-1.83*

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days