V-Lab
Continental AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
43.39%
decreased by 1.85%
1 Week
42.92%
decreased by 2.32%
1 Month
41.31%
decreased by 3.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1381 | 28.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0975 | 30.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8328 | 297.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0798 | 12.55*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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