Kajima Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
27.22%
increased by 0.48%
1 Week
28.16%
increased by 1.42%
1 Month
31.06%
increased by 4.32%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 30, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1910 | 8.69*** |
| αARCH | 0.2293 | 12.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7227 | 56.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.0382 | 1.15 |
0.971
Persistence24d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1910 | 8.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2293 | 12.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7227 | 56.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0382 | 1.15 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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