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V-Lab

Merck KGaA Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

25.10%

decreased by 2.09%

1 Week

25.80%

decreased by 1.39%

1 Month

27.51%

increased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Merck KGaA AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 20, 1995 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2524
6.01***
αARCH0.1742
7.68***
βGARCH0.7308
34.94***
γleverage0.0485
1.10

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2524
6.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1742
7.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7308
34.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0485
1.10

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days