V-Lab
Beiersdorf AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
47.04%
decreased by 2.70%
1 Week
46.59%
decreased by 3.15%
1 Month
44.90%
decreased by 4.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 27, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0477 | 21.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1183 | 29.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8615 | 228.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0100 | 1.59 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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