Skip to main content
V-Lab

Continental AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.59%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

33.71%

increased by 0.91%

1 Month

36.96%

increased by 4.16%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1561
6.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0784
8.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8821
62.09***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0349
1.35
γ2-0.0248
-0.64
γ3-0.0442
-1.66*
γ40.0936
3.98***
γ5-0.1407
-5.98***
γ60.1506
5.01***
γ7-0.0903
-2.20**
γ80.0157
0.41

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days