V-Lab
Continental AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
33.15%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
33.84%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
35.84%
increased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 379% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0251 | 9.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8854 | 238.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0950 | 23.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0252 | 3.57*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0146 | 4.41*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9802 | 203.95*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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