V-Lab
Continental AG APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
34.88%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
35.09%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
35.86%
increased by 0.45%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 371% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.09 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0397 | 19.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0601 | 37.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9373 | 570.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6106 | 19.97*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.0910 | 26.26*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
51 days
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