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V-Lab

Continental AG APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

34.88%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

35.09%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

35.86%

increased by 0.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Continental AG APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 371% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.09 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0397
19.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0601
37.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9373
570.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.6106
19.97***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0910
26.26***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days