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V-Lab

COMSYS Holdings Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

30.05%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Week

30.49%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

32.06%

increased by 0.92%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of COMSYS Holdings Corp APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.28 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0566
14.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0968
36.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9032
323.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3267
18.78***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2794
29.25***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days