V-Lab
COMSYS Holdings Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.35%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
28.26%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
29.94%
increased by 2.06%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 178% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0581 | 18.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7912 | 101.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1035 | 18.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0365 | 3.48*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0510 | 4.96*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9410 | 78.13*** |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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