V-Lab
COMSYS Holdings Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.83%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Week
26.16%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Month
26.84%
decreased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 175% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0587 | 18.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7921 | 102.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1029 | 18.13*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0346 | 3.55*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0488 | 5.08*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9436 | 84.15*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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