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V-Lab

SAP SE APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

43.00%

decreased by 3.46%

1 Week

43.15%

decreased by 3.31%

1 Month

43.66%

decreased by 2.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of SAP SE APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 84% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.03 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0807
18.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1353
31.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8647
202.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2879
13.77***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0321
32.67***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days