V-Lab
Korea Cast Iron Pipe Industries Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
14.55%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
15.27%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
17.52%
increased by 2.62%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 12:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9538 | 5.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.0979 | 7.99*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8778 | 59.09*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0677 | 2.34** |
| γ2 | -0.1435 | -3.16*** |
| γ3 | 0.1133 | 3.63*** |
| γ4 | -0.0474 | -1.29 |
| γ5 | 0.0216 | 0.47 |
| γ6 | -0.0328 | -0.70 |
| γ7 | 0.0366 | 1.11 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9538 | 5.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0979 | 7.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8778 | 59.09*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0677 | 2.34** |
| γ2 | -0.1435 | -3.16*** |
| γ3 | 0.1133 | 3.63*** |
| γ4 | -0.0474 | -1.29 |
| γ5 | 0.0216 | 0.47 |
| γ6 | -0.0328 | -0.70 |
| γ7 | 0.0366 | 1.11 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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