V-Lab
Korea Cast Iron Pipe Industries Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
30.67%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Week
30.49%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Month
29.85%
decreased by 1.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9659 | 5.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0980 | 8.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8775 | 58.94*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0695 | 2.42** |
| γ2 | -0.1455 | -3.24*** |
| γ3 | 0.1131 | 3.65*** |
| γ4 | -0.0470 | -1.26 |
| γ5 | 0.0219 | 0.47 |
| γ6 | -0.0329 | -0.70 |
| γ7 | 0.0359 | 1.10 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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