V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
22.32%
increased by 0.25%
1 Week
25.33%
increased by 3.26%
1 Month
31.95%
increased by 9.88%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4347 | 7.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3080 | 7.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6593 | 28.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0669 | -0.84 |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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