GMO TECH Holdings Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
40.59%
increased by 19.33%
1 Week
40.74%
increased by 19.48%
1 Month
41.19%
increased by 19.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3058 | 2.27** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2833 | 5.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6738 | 31.28*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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