V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
21.60%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
23.27%
increased by 1.33%
1 Month
25.31%
increased by 3.37%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5524 | 5.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2099 | 2.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6806 | 16.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1818 | -2.26** |
Persistence:
0.800
Half-life:
3 days
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