V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.60%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Week
27.35%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Month
27.03%
decreased by 2.06%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5780 | 5.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1747 | 2.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7022 | 17.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1580 | -2.16** |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
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