V-Lab
GMO TECH Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.77%
decreased by 2.48%
1 Week
28.00%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Month
26.95%
decreased by 4.30%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5562 | 5.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1960 | 3.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6864 | 16.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1679 | -2.27** |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
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