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V-Lab

GMO TECH Holdings Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.94%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

21.60%

increased by 1.47%

1 Month

23.28%

increased by 3.15%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1000
3.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2364
10.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7270
32.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0155
-0.49
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
2.29**

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days