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V-Lab

GMO TECH Holdings Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

22.72%

decreased by 4.07%

1 Week

25.90%

decreased by 0.89%

1 Month

27.53%

increased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of GMO TECH Holdings Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.63) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9198
9.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1712
8.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3880
32.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.6340
-8.92***

Persistence:

0.559

Half-life:

1 days