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V-Lab

Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

42.83%

increased by 0.53%

1 Week

42.92%

increased by 0.62%

1 Month

43.24%

increased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 114 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0512
3.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0221
9.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9718
330.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5791
2.94***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

114 days