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V-Lab

Casio Computer Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

30.08%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

30.46%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

31.67%

increased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Casio Computer Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.73) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1240
12.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0730
32.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8949
277.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7256
12.63***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days