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V-Lab

Casio Computer Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27.50%

increased by 2.35%

1 Week

27.92%

increased by 2.77%

1 Month

28.98%

increased by 3.83%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:34 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Casio Computer Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0573
7.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0885
7.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8422
43.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.0447
-1.45
γ20.1376
3.10***
γ3-0.1881
-6.27***
γ40.1796
4.88***
γ5-0.1568
-2.92***
γ60.1033
1.82*
γ7-0.0351
-0.72
γ80.0010
0.02
γ90.0081
0.19

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days