V-Lab
Casio Computer Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.37%
increased by 3.21%
1 Week
35.51%
increased by 3.35%
1 Month
35.57%
increased by 3.41%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0783 | 16.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6676 | 54.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0822 | 10.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0875 | 1.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0617 | 1.62 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9204 | 18.65*** |
Persistence:
0.787
Half-life:
3 days
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