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V-Lab

Casio Computer Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

35.37%

increased by 3.21%

1 Week

35.51%

increased by 3.35%

1 Month

35.57%

increased by 3.41%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Casio Computer Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 105% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0783
16.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6676
54.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0822
10.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0875
1.27
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0617
1.62
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9204
18.65***

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days