Skip to main content
V-Lab

Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

78.28%

decreased by 10.11%

1 Week

79.05%

decreased by 9.34%

1 Month

81.67%

decreased by 6.72%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 1997 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -0.14) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7239
23.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2242
42.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7558
162.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1434
-2.07**

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days