V-Lab
Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
57.87%
increased by 4.12%
1 Week
67.67%
increased by 13.92%
1 Month
79.42%
increased by 25.67%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2046 | 28.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5562 | 29.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0083 | 0.55 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.7403 | 1.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6100 | 0.96 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0491 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.765
Half-life:
3 days
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