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V-Lab

Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

57.87%

increased by 4.12%

1 Week

67.67%

increased by 13.92%

1 Month

79.42%

increased by 25.67%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2046
28.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5562
29.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0083
0.55
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.7403
1.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6100
0.96
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0491
0.05

Persistence:

0.765

Half-life:

3 days