V-Lab
Dae Won Chemical Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
64.36%
decreased by 1.78%
1 Week
65.68%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Month
70.12%
increased by 3.98%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 28, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6820 | 20.59*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2098 | 24.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7679 | 153.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0040 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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