Para Light Electronics Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
90.63%
decreased by 5.62%
1 Week
87.01%
decreased by 9.24%
1 Month
75.60%
decreased by 20.65%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3321 | 20.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1126 | 19.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8400 | 176.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0081 | -0.76 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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