Para Light Electronics Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
160.39%
decreased by 10.79%
1 Week
158.38%
decreased by 12.80%
1 Month
150.89%
decreased by 20.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.7255 | 3.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1022 | 52.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9853 | 213.45*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.7659 | 42.47*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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