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V-Lab

Para Light Electronics Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

160.39%

decreased by 10.79%

1 Week

158.38%

decreased by 12.80%

1 Month

150.89%

decreased by 20.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Para Light Electronics Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.7255
3.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1022
52.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9853
213.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7659
42.47***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days