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V-Lab

Para Light Electronics Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

128.01%

increased by 17.39%

1 Week

126.54%

increased by 15.92%

1 Month

121.07%

increased by 10.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Para Light Electronics Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.3642
3.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1019
52.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9851
212.22***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7858
41.25***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days