V-Lab
Para Light Electronics Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
83.11%
increased by 16.26%
1 Week
79.54%
increased by 12.69%
1 Month
73.84%
increased by 6.99%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1227 | 25.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6888 | 62.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0103 | 1.50 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.8667 | 1.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6995 | 0.94 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.817
Half-life:
3 days
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