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V-Lab

Para Light Electronics Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

73.93%

decreased by 5.59%

1 Week

70.36%

decreased by 9.16%

1 Month

63.65%

decreased by 15.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Para Light Electronics Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1254
25.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6784
59.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0092
1.32
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.9024
0.91
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6882
0.84
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days