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V-Lab

Para Light Electronics Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

78.17%

increased by 12.60%

1 Week

74.87%

increased by 9.30%

1 Month

64.71%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Para Light Electronics Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1629
12.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1087
8.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8349
40.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0007
2.16**

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days