Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
94.25%
increased by 21.27%
1 Week
89.83%
increased by 16.85%
1 Month
77.22%
increased by 4.24%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.13 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.4548 | 7.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1564 | 15.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9301 | 100.17*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.1285 | 5.56*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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