V-Lab
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
65.64%
increased by 17.10%
1 Week
64.56%
increased by 16.02%
1 Month
61.30%
increased by 12.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.1983 | 6.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1420 | 16.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9502 | 118.10*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.1446 | 5.67*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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