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V-Lab

Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

94.25%

increased by 21.27%

1 Week

89.83%

increased by 16.85%

1 Month

77.22%

increased by 4.24%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.13 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.4548
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1564
15.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9301
100.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.1285
5.56***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days