V-Lab
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
53.51%
decreased by 4.22%
1 Week
58.42%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
57.12%
decreased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2096 | 18.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2799 | 7.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0058 | -0.38 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.0665 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2021 | 0.90 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6592 | 1.73* |
Persistence:
0.487
Half-life:
1 days
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