Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
93.70%
increased by 40.40%
1 Week
77.84%
increased by 24.54%
1 Month
66.78%
increased by 13.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2133 | 20.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3103 | 8.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0076 | -0.51 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.0371 | 0.88 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1637 | 0.90 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6956 | 2.08** |
Persistence:
0.520
Half-life:
1 days
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