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V-Lab

Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

93.70%

increased by 40.40%

1 Week

77.84%

increased by 24.54%

1 Month

66.78%

increased by 13.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2133
20.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3103
8.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0076
-0.51
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0371
0.88
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1637
0.90
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6956
2.08**

Persistence:

0.520

Half-life:

1 days