Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
80.84%
increased by 23.43%
1 Week
73.20%
increased by 15.79%
1 Month
60.07%
increased by 2.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7140 | 8.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1371 | 4.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6872 | 9.27*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.1258 | 4.84*** |
| γ2 | -0.1525 | -4.68*** |
Persistence:
0.824
Half-life:
4 days
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