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V-Lab

Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

79.35%

increased by 11.48%

1 Week

77.13%

increased by 9.26%

1 Month

70.02%

increased by 2.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3781
12.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1120
12.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8600
115.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0317
-2.43**

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days