Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
79.35%
increased by 11.48%
1 Week
77.13%
increased by 9.26%
1 Month
70.02%
increased by 2.15%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3781 | 12.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1120 | 12.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8600 | 115.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0317 | -2.43** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
15 days
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