V-Lab
Shandong Liancheng Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
56.99%
decreased by 3.35%
1 Week
56.31%
decreased by 4.03%
1 Month
54.15%
decreased by 6.19%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 42% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3456 | 12.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1100 | 12.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8672 | 126.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0327 | -2.61*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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