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V-Lab

Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

65.03%

decreased by 8.58%

1 Week

63.43%

decreased by 10.18%

1 Month

59.30%

decreased by 14.31%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.27) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8444
15.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1841
21.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7386
80.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2728
2.28**

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days