Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
65.03%
decreased by 8.58%
1 Week
63.43%
decreased by 10.18%
1 Month
59.30%
decreased by 14.31%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.27) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8444 | 15.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1841 | 21.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7386 | 80.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2728 | 2.28** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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