V-Lab
Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
101.56%
decreased by 2.91%
1 Week
100.64%
decreased by 3.83%
1 Month
97.16%
decreased by 7.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 3, 1992 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1570 | 10.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0774 | 22.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9096 | 268.01*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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