V-Lab
Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
54.65%
decreased by 2.62%
1 Week
57.80%
increased by 0.53%
1 Month
61.54%
increased by 4.27%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1901 | 10.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6200 | 22.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0119 | 0.64 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3177 | 1.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0549 | 1.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9095 | 11.73*** |
Persistence:
0.816
Half-life:
3 days
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