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V-Lab

Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

66.25%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

64.72%

decreased by 3.45%

1 Month

60.69%

decreased by 7.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 1991 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 24% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.52 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4474
8.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1612
19.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7907
85.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0705
2.64***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5190
24.20***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days