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V-Lab

Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

40.26%

decreased by 2.51%

1 Week

44.69%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

52.05%

increased by 9.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. The volatility power δ = 1.55 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2129
14.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6769
32.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0396
-1.58
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5455
7.73***

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days