V-Lab
Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.11%
decreased by 0.99%
1 Week
47.46%
increased by 6.36%
1 Month
53.82%
increased by 12.72%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 8, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3861 | 12.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2975 | 9.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4445 | 13.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0218 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.731
Half-life:
2 days
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