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V-Lab

Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

36.42%

decreased by 4.08%

1 Week

48.88%

increased by 8.38%

1 Month

60.36%

increased by 19.86%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.8771
6.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3376
8.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7723
22.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.4007
5.56***

Persistence:

0.772

Half-life:

3 days