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V-Lab

Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

31.55%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Week

34.72%

increased by 2.17%

1 Month

38.10%

increased by 5.55%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bati EGE Gayrimenkul Yatirim MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 8, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1527
10.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6074
22.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0450
2.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9985
212.95***

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days