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V-Lab

Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

70.74%

decreased by 1.78%

1 Week

76.98%

increased by 4.46%

1 Month

81.88%

increased by 9.36%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5646
2.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2373
5.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4485
7.41***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2760
2.18**
γ2-0.3466
-2.13**
γ30.0299
0.37
γ40.2336
2.84***
γ5-0.4055
-4.45***
γ60.2662
3.35***
γ7-0.0693
-0.78
γ80.0752
0.67
γ9-0.1019
-0.90
γ100.2270
0.71

Persistence:

0.686

Half-life:

2 days