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V-Lab

Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

18.48%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

19.12%

increased by 0.87%

1 Month

20.79%

increased by 2.54%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 30, 2010 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7681
11.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
6.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8637
40.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0060
-2.85***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days