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V-Lab

Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

53.69%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

55.12%

increased by 1.40%

1 Month

56.80%

increased by 3.08%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 1991 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5551
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2003
5.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5762
7.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2579
1.93*
γ2-0.3146
-1.83*
γ30.0101
0.12
γ40.2335
2.71***
γ5-0.3868
-4.01***
γ60.2407
2.79***
γ7-0.0400
-0.39
γ80.0194
0.14
γ90.0315
0.21
γ10-0.1021
-0.82

Persistence:

0.776

Half-life:

3 days