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V-Lab

Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

54.39%

decreased by 3.58%

1 Week

54.31%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Month

54.21%

decreased by 3.76%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Investeringsselskabet af 3. november 2025 A/S S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5620
2.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2047
5.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5666
7.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2580
1.94*
γ2-0.3159
-1.85*
γ30.0131
0.16
γ40.2307
2.71***
γ5-0.3865
-4.06***
γ60.2432
2.86***
γ7-0.0442
-0.44
γ80.0297
0.22
γ90.0065
0.05
γ10-0.0735
-0.67

Persistence:

0.771

Half-life:

3 days