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V-Lab

Bayer AG MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

26.59%

increased by 1.04%

1 Week

26.88%

increased by 1.33%

1 Month

27.85%

increased by 2.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 30-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0950
1.99**
αARCH0.1840
9.48***
βGARCH0.7933
76.73***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0950
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1840
9.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7933
76.73***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days