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V-Lab

Bayer AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.14%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

28.23%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

28.59%

increased by 0.25%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 209% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0485
18.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0249
15.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9371
547.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0521
14.64***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days