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V-Lab

Bayer AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

34.98%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

34.91%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

34.65%

decreased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 207% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 207% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0516
4.68***
αARCH0.0262
3.83***
βGARCH0.9341
133.21***
γleverage0.0541
3.69***

0.987

Persistence

54d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0516
4.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0262
3.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9341
133.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0541
3.69***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days