Bayer AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
34.98%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
34.91%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Month
34.65%
decreased by 1.01%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 207% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 207% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0516 | 4.68*** |
| αARCH | 0.0262 | 3.83*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9341 | 133.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0541 | 3.69*** |
0.987
Persistence54d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0516 | 4.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0262 | 3.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9341 | 133.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0541 | 3.69*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities