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V-Lab

Bayer AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

40.38%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

40.21%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Month

39.59%

decreased by 1.90%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 202% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0459
17.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0247
15.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9391
562.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0499
14.22***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days