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V-Lab

Urbana Corp MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

40.49%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Week

41.18%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

43.73%

increased by 1.89%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Urbana Corp MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1560
5.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0805
20.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9128
179.10***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days