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V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

60.58%

decreased by 3.01%

1 Week

70.68%

increased by 7.09%

1 Month

85.70%

increased by 22.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.73) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.8978
15.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3110
16.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5490
36.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7337
3.76***

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days