Skip to main content
V-Lab

XtalPi Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

99.00%

decreased by 2.40%

1 Week

97.14%

decreased by 4.26%

1 Month

92.63%

decreased by 8.77%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of XtalPi Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.01 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

29.8341
3.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1409
5.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9127
34.72***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0084
2.86***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days