V-Lab
XtalPi Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
90.55%
decreased by 3.49%
1 Week
91.18%
decreased by 2.86%
1 Month
93.07%
decreased by 0.97%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7030 | 10.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1585 | 11.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7838 | 55.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0255 | 0.95 |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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